Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032
New Scientist - 18-Feb-2025More data may change the risk estimate, either increasing or decreasing it
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An organisation dedicated to the exploration of space peacefully
The European Space Agency (ESA) is Europe’s gateway to space. Its mission is to shape the development of Europe’s space capability and ensure that investment in space continues to deliver benefits to the citizens of Europe and the world.
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Details last updated 22-Mar-2020
More data may change the risk estimate, either increasing or decreasing it
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Head of the Structures Mechanisms and Materials Division at European Space Agency - ESA