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Anders Sandberg - What are the chances we will survive this century?

Anders Sandberg explores humanity's chances of surviving this century

Anders Sandberg, a philosopher and researcher at the Institute for Future Studies, explores humanity's survival prospects, existential risks, and the future of technology. In this episode, he discusses threats like nuclear war, artificial intelligence, and biotechnology while also emphasizing optimism and proactive solutions.

Key Points:

Humanity faces significant challenges in the coming century, but survival is not just about avoiding catastrophe—it’s about making informed choices that shape a better future Anders Sandberg emphasizes rational optimism, long-term thinking, and the importance of shaping a future where we not only survive but thrive.

  • The Probability of Extinction: Sandberg estimates a 10% chance of human extinction within the next century, emphasizing that while this number may seem high, it also means there’s a 90% chance we will adapt and survive.
  • Nuclear War and Global Risks: Despite the end of the Cold War, nuclear threats remain a significant concern. The complexity of multiple nuclear-armed nations increases the risk of miscalculation or accidental escalation.
  • Biotechnology and Pandemics: Advances in biotech offer immense potential but also pose risks. The increasing accessibility of genetic engineering raises concerns about the possibility of engineered pandemics or accidental releases.
  • Artificial Intelligence & Future Control: AI could be one of the most transformative and potentially dangerous technologies. The challenge is ensuring AI development aligns with human safety and ethics to prevent unintended consequences.
  • The Importance of Optimism and Long-Term Thinking: While risks exist, Sandberg stresses that humanity has consistently overcome challenges through innovation and cooperation. He advocates for rational optimism and proactive risk management.
  • Existential Risks vs. Everyday Concerns: While large-scale threats capture attention, Sandberg highlights the importance of maintaining perspective. Small, incremental efforts to improve governance, education, and scientific research are key to long-term survival.









Visit website: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rv5w_OK3La4

See also

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Details last updated 06-Mar-2025

Mentioned in this Resource

Anders Sandberg

Senior research fellow at Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford