Join the club for FREE to access the whole archive and other member benefits.

Artificial Intelligence efficiency improves faster than Moore’s law predictions

OpenAI will track these improvements publicly to provide more transparency

05-May-2020

Key points from article :

Since 2012, AI's algorithmic efficiency has vastly improved, reducing the compute power required to achieve high performance. Training neural networks to perform ImageNet classification now takes 44 times less compute compared to 2012. This reduction significantly surpasses Moore’s Law, which suggests only an 11x improvement over the same period.

AI's efficiency gains reflect advancements in algorithmic techniques rather than hardware alone. Tasks like ImageNet classification, translation, and games like Go show exponential progress, highlighting that AI’s improvements extend beyond hardware limitations. For instance, translation models require significantly less compute than earlier models. In the gaming realm, AlphaZero achieved performance comparable to its predecessor, AlphaGoZero, using 8x less compute within a year.

The focus on algorithmic efficiency aids in accelerating AI research. These gains enable more experiments with fewer resources, making AI developments accessible even to academic researchers with limited computing resources. Efficiency also influences policy, as OpenAI emphasizes the need for more academic funding to keep pace with industry advances.

Tracking these efficiency trends helps predict AI’s future impact, potentially revolutionizing areas like healthcare, policy, and technology. Industry leaders and policymakers increasingly recognize the importance of monitoring AI progress, prompting OpenAI to start publicly tracking state-of-the-art efficiency benchmarks. This initiative will support decision-makers in understanding AI's trajectory and allocate resources effectively.

In summary, AI’s advancements in algorithmic efficiency underscore the importance of continual research. With sustained improvement, AI could become an increasingly accessible and transformative tool across various sectors, shaping the future of technology and policy.

Mentioned in this article:

Click on resource name for more details.

OpenAI

AI research company, discovering and enacting the path to safe artificial general intelligence

Topics mentioned on this page:
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Artificial Intelligence efficiency improves faster than Moore’s law predictions